Solana MACD Buy Signal Flashes as SOL Eyes Symmetrical Triangle Breakout to $130
Solana MACD buy signal hits weekly chart on April 25 as SOL coils near $86, with a symmetrical triangle breakout above $90 projecting a $130 target.
What to Know
- Solana is trading near $85 to $86 after pulling back from a weekly high of $89, with the weekly MACD line crossing above its signal line for the first time since May 2025.
- A confirmed daily close above $90 would complete a symmetrical triangle on the daily chart, projecting a measured move toward $130, roughly a 50% gain.
- Glassnode shows about 9.9 million SOL sitting in profit-recovery range with cost basis between $90 and $92, the wall bulls have to chew through.
- Weekly RSI rebounded to 35 from a February low of 25. Analyst Tyler Hill says the previous sub-35 print, 1,200 days ago, kicked off a 3,000% rally.
A Solana MACD buy signal has just printed on the weekly chart, and the last time this exact crossover showed up, SOL doubled in price within months. The token is changing hands at $85 to $86 on Friday after backing off a recent peak of $89, with traders eyeing the $90 level as the line in the sand for what comes next. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence line crossed above its signal line on the weekly timeframe this week, mirroring the May 2025 setup that sent Solana from roughly $125 to over $250 in a matter of weeks.
Why the Solana MACD Buy Signal Has Traders Paying Attention
The crossover itself is not new. What makes this one loud is the company it keeps. Previous weekly MACD buy signals on SOL preceded an 860% surge in 2023 and a 617% rally in 2021. The 2025 version delivered a near 100% move. Four signals, four rallies. That is the track record analysts are pointing to right now.
There is a second indicator firing alongside it. Solana's weekly Relative Strength Index has climbed back to 35 from a mid-February low of 25. RSI at this depth is rare. The last time it printed sub-35 was during the 2022 capitulation, the floor that set up the 2,500% advance to $210 by March 2024.
Market analyst Tyler Hill called out the same setup this week, noting in a Solana MACD buy signal thread that SOL's weekly RSI had dropped below 35 for the first time in 1,200 days. According to Hill, the previous instance of such an extreme reading marked the bear market bottom and triggered a 3,000% expansion. Whether history rhymes is anyone's guess. But the data does.
The MACD crossover happened after its lowest stretch ever. Combined with bullish RSI divergence, SOL is set up for its most powerful move in two years.
The $90 Level Is the Whole Story
Zoom into the daily chart and the structure gets sharper. SOL has been compressing inside a symmetrical triangle for weeks, with lower highs meeting higher lows in the kind of coil that resolves violently in one direction. The breakout threshold sits at $90.
A daily close above that level would confirm the pattern. The measured move from a confirmed Solana symmetrical triangle breakout projects a target of roughly $130, a 50% jump from current spot. The daily RSI is also cooperating, recovering to 52 from the deeply oversold 11 registered on February 6. Momentum is no longer dead. It is just waiting for permission.
- $77 to $94: the Bollinger Band squeeze range Ali Charts flagged as a no-trade zone on the 3-day chart
- $90: the symmetrical triangle breakout threshold on the daily
- $90 to $96: the cost basis cluster and 100-day moving average convergence
- $130: the measured move target on a confirmed breakout
What Is the Cost Basis Wall Standing in SOL's Way?
Here is the catch. The same $90 level that unlocks the upside is also the price where a lot of people want their money back. Glassnode's Solana cost basis heatmap shows roughly 9.9 million SOL sitting in wallets with an average entry price between $90 and $92. That is a real wall.
When price approaches the breakeven zone for a large cluster of holders, selling pressure tends to spike. People who have been underwater for months take the exit the moment they see green. That dynamic alone can stall a breakout, even when the technicals scream go.
Layered on top of that supply: the 100-day moving average runs through the same $90 to $96 corridor. Two forms of resistance, one zone. Bulls do not need to clear $90 by a hair. They need to absorb the offers and close decisively above it on volume. Anything less is a fakeout waiting to happen.
The No-Trade Zone Nobody Is Talking About
Technical analyst Ali Charts flagged a developing Bollinger Band squeeze on the 3-day chart, with price action compressed inside the $77 to $94 corridor. Squeezes precede expansion. The direction is not the squeeze's job to call. The volatility burst is.
Ali Charts told traders to wait for a decisive 3-day candle close beyond the bands before sizing in. That is the patient read. The aggressive read is to position now and accept the chop risk. Either approach has merit. What does not have merit is guessing in the middle of a coil with no confirmation.
This is a no-trade zone. Wait for a 3-day candle close beyond the bands before initiating positions.
The Honest Read
Three bullish indicators, one ugly supply wall, and a market that has burned breakout traders all year. That is the setup. The MACD signal has a perfect track record on SOL. The RSI confirms it. The triangle is textbook. None of that matters if $90 rejects price for the fourth time in two months.
If you are a SOL holder waiting on conviction, you already have it. If you are flat and looking to enter, the rule has not changed since 2021: wait for the close, not the wick. SOL is presently maintaining support at $85 to $86 as buyers keep pressing the $90 ceiling. The next weekly candle decides everything.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Solana MACD buy signal?
The Solana MACD buy signal occurs when the Moving Average Convergence Divergence line crosses above its signal line on the weekly chart. On SOL, this exact crossover preceded rallies of 617% in 2021, 860% in 2023, and roughly 100% in 2025, making it one of the most reliable bullish setups in Solana's chart history.
What price target does the SOL symmetrical triangle pattern project?
The symmetrical triangle on Solana's daily chart projects a measured move target of approximately $130 if SOL closes above the $90 breakout threshold. From current levels near $85 to $86, that target represents a roughly 50% gain. A failed breakout could send price back toward the lower end of the $77 to $94 squeeze range.
Why is the $90 level so important for Solana?
The $90 level combines three forms of resistance: the symmetrical triangle breakout threshold, the 100-day moving average, and a cost basis cluster of 9.9 million SOL with average entry between $90 and $92. Holders who bought at that range may sell at breakeven, creating overhead supply that bulls must absorb to confirm the move.
What did analyst Tyler Hill say about Solana's RSI?
Analyst Tyler Hill noted that Solana's weekly RSI fell below 35 for the first time in 1,200 days. The previous time RSI hit such an extreme reading, it marked the bear market floor and was followed by a 3,000% price expansion. Hill paired the observation with the MACD crossover as confirmation of a major bottom.
